This post is going to be mostly data and very light on commentary. I wanted to be able to share with you the numbers behind the calculations from my last post where I shared the print run for 2018-19 Prizm Basketball hobby cases and the number of Silver, Hyper, and Ruby Wave parallels packed out in the hobby cases.
Please feel free to look through the spreadsheet below to see the actual numbers that went into the calculations.
Also note, I counted the number of veteran and rookie non-numbered parallels in the hobby boxes. If you go to worksheet “Hobby_Box_Raw_Data” you can see the breakdown.
If rookies and veterans are produced in equal quantities, then the ratio of parallels observed should be similar to the ratio of rookies to veterans in the base set. There are 53 rookie cards in the 2018-19 Panini Prizm Basketball set. The total base set is 300 cards, therefore there are 247 veteran and legends cards in the base set. If rookie and veteran non-numbered parallels are produced in equal quantities and are equally inserted, then we would expect to see around 17.7% of the Silver, Hyper, and Ruby Wave cards to be rookies. In fact, that is true. In the observations we saw:
Silver Prizm RCs = 16.2%
Hyper Prizm RCs = 17.6%
Ruby Wave Prizm RCs = 18.5%
All of these numbers are close enough to 17.7% that we can say the rookies are in all likelihood not short printed.
Till next time – Jeff